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Restoring Iraq's banking sector
 Omar El-Quqa |
Much needs to be done to put Iraqs crippled banking
system back into reasonable shape, writes Omar
El-Quqa, Executive Vice-President at Global Investment House in Kuwait
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Amidst the violence
and turbulence in Iraq, the Coalition Provisional Authoritys (CPA)
efforts in restructuring the shattered banking system seems to be a top
priority in its agenda to advance the economy in Iraq.
Following the
fall of Saddam Husseins regime on 9 April, 2003, violence and looting
occurred all over Iraq. People looted banks, museums, hospitals, ministries and
many more. According to reports in the international media* around US$
400 million in cash, gold and other valuables were looted from Iraqi banks and
their branches. Only a quarter of Baghdads banks escaped the looting, by
one estimate.
However, the recent looting is just one of the many
ailments of the Iraqi banking sector, suffering for years from state
domination, war and close to 13 years of embargo.
The banking sector in
Iraq dates back to the mid-1930s when the Iraqi government decided to establish
banks in order to make credit available to other sectors of the economy.
Branches of foreign banks and private Iraqi banks were opened as the economy
expanded. In 1964, Iraq consolidated and nationalised private banks into what
is known today as the Rafidain Bank, the largest state-owned bank in Iraq. In
the 1980s, the banking sectors assets grew to record levels mainly
because of its role in meeting the governments financial obligations. The
Rafidain Bank and, later the Rashid Bank, made large profits from financing the
state treasury by acquiring state treasury bills. However, the banking system
took a major hit when the UN economic sanctions were imposed in 1990. The banks
started to finance the Iraqi military and the then ruling party.
State control The government opened its
banking sector to local private banks in the early 1990s to spur business and
help offset the impact of sanctions imposed after the Gulf war. Following that,
16 private banks were established. By the year 2000 there were 21 state-owned
and private banks operating in Iraq with a total number of 493 branches. This
means that in Iraq there is one bank branch for each 48,000 Iraqis
approximately, which is self-evident of the limited reach of banks.
The
private sector banks had a deposit base of ID 89.4 billion as of 2000 and a
market share of around 6.6%, indicating that state-owned banks controlled over
93% of the deposits. The private sector banks had extended ID 46.3 billion in
loans as of 2000, which represents a high market share of around 21% in loans
extended as compared with their share of deposits. The credit deposit ratio for
the private sector banks was around 52%. The net profit of the private sector
banks in 2000 was ID 4.16 billion, proving that banking was one of the most
profitable businesses in Iraq.
The future of
the Iraqi dinar The Baghdad Stock Exchange is expected to open
in 2004. Fifteen private banks are listed on the Baghdad Stock Exchange with an
aggregate net profit of around ID 6.4 million in 2001. Private banks were able
to maintain acceptable return on investments even with the negative economic
and political environment. The return on equity of listed banks ranged from
0.4% case to 205% and averaged at around 30%. The banks with the largest
authorised capital include the Middle East Bank, the Commercial Bank and Dar As
Salam Investment Bank, with the largest capital of any listed bank not
exceeding ID 2,400 million (roughly around US$1.2 million).
The banks
in Iraq are suffering from various problems today, including the uncertain
security situation in Iraq, the instability of the Iraqi dinar, the lack of
adequate capital markets, the outdated banking regulations, and the lack of
transparency. The situation is made worse by the fact that local banks have
limited capital bases, limited customer reach, outdated technologies, and
inadequately trained human resources.
The first step towards restoring
the banking sector has already been taken. A new series of Iraqi Dinars will
soon be circulating in the market. The Iraqi Central Bank will allow for the
exchange for a period of three months, starting from 15 October to 15 January,
2004.
The new Iraqi dinar will be hard to counterfeit, more durable and
has more denominations. Other currencies circulating in Iraq are the US dollar
and the Kuwaiti dinar, which are being exchanged in the open market. As for the
ordinary consumers they are paying for goods in the Iraqi dinar but their
salaries are being paid in US dollars.
Trade
Bank start-up The Governing Council in Iraq and the CPA seem to
be committed to the restoration of the banking system in Iraq. The CPA recently
awarded a consortium led by the US based J P Morgan Chase & Co the tender
for operating the Trade Bank of Iraq. The Consortium consists of 13 banks
representing 14 countries including Standard Chartered PLC of the United
Kingdom, National Bank of Kuwait, The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi, Ltd, and Royal
Bank of Canada, among others.
The Trade Bank of Iraqs start up
capital is US$100 million, US $ 5 million from the CPA and US$ 95 million from
the United Nations reconstruction fund made up of oil revenues. The Trade Bank
of Iraq will provide letters of credit for the Iraq government to purchase
heavy equipment and goods.
Initially, the purchases may average around
US$ 100 million a month but the banks overall business may reach up to
US$ 500 million a month after Iraqs oil industry booms, according to US
estimates. The Trade Bank of Iraq is expected to start issuing letters of
credit soon. The bank is planned to operate for 12 months but may continue for
another two years.
Restructuring ahead
On the same front, the CPA is also tendering the restructuring
of Iraqs two largest state owned banks, namely the Rafidain Bank and the
Rashid Bank.
For the banking sector to be revitalised, it will have to
be opened up for the private sector. Some state owned banks may have to be
privatised and the existing private banks consolidated and restructured. It is
also inevitable that the market will witness the entry of foreign banks and
financial institutions. As per the new law, the Iraqi Governing Council will
permit foreign banks to enter Iraq. The Council will allow the entry of six
foreign banks to purchase up to 100% of local banks within the next five years.
The Council also allows an unlimited number of foreign banks to purchase up to
50% of local banks. After five years, there will be no restrictions on foreign
bank entry. A US $25 million capital requirement will be placed for a foreign
majority-owned subsidiary.
Private banks
The Iraqi private sector is already active on the banking sector
front with one party reportedly working on obtaining a license for establishing
a private bank in the North of Iraq and a few others working on the acquisition
of existing private banks. Foreign banks have already expressed their interest
in Iraq by participating in the tender for the Trade Bank of Iraq and others
have been closely monitoring the situation in Iraq and assessing the
possibilities for investment in the war torn country.
The Iraq Holding
Company (IHC) is one example of such private sector initiative. Established by
Global Investment House, the leading investment bank in Kuwait, IHC has a
capital of US$ 200 million which it plans to invest in the financial, services,
industrial, health, education and other sectors in Iraq in partnership with
Iraqi and foreign partners. IHC has already signed agreements with various
partners to establish projects in Iraq and is closely monitoring the
developments in the banking sector.
How long it would take to restore
the shattered Iraqi banking system is unclear; yet it is certain that much of
the private sector contribution to the restoration process would primarily
depend on the security situation, the general investment climate as well as
macroeconomic developments of pertinence to the banking sector.
* These reports included
one entitled, Iraqs banks struggle under fire, by John W
Schoen, MSNBC Senior Producer
Omar El-Quqa is
Executive Vice-President, Treasury and Corporate Finance Departments, Global
Investment House, Kuwait. He obtained his MBA, with a major in finance, from
the Sul Ross State University in Alpine, Texas. |
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